Research

Mixed

Secular trends in the UK indicate that younger birth cohorts (born after the 1980s) develop overweight or obesity at significantly younger ages and with higher probabilities than older cohorts (born before the 1980s).

If you are raising children in a modern high-income environment, expect a higher baseline risk of overweight/obesity compared to previous generations. The data suggests this risk manifests earlier (childhood/adolescence) rather than just in adulthood. Focus on early-life environmental factors (diet, activity) as the primary lever for prevention, as the 'normal' trajectory has shifted.

StrongSupportsVERY_HIGH confidence
By age 10 years, the estimated probabilities of overweight or obesity in cohorts born after the 1980s were 2–3 times greater than those born before the 1980s... the age when a 50th centile first entered the overweight range... decreased across NSHD, NCDS, and BCS from 41 to 33 to 30 years in males and 48 to 44 to 41 years in females.
William Johnson et al. · PLoS Medicine · 2015

Why this rating

Large longitudinal sample (n=56,632) across 5 cohorts spanning 70 years.

Source

How Has the Age-Related Process of Overweight or Obesity Development Changed over Time? Co-ordinated Analyses of Individual Participant Data from Five United Kingdom Birth Cohorts

William Johnson et al. · PLoS Medicine · 2015

cohort · n=56632Cited 215×
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