Research

Macro partitioning

Elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations (eCO2) significantly reduce the protein content of C3 staple crops (rice, wheat, barley, potato), leading to a global increase in the population at risk of protein deficiency by 2050.

This research highlights a systemic risk to global food security rather than an individual intervention. For individuals, the key takeaway is to support agricultural policies that promote crop diversification, particularly the breeding of crops resilient to high CO2, and to prioritize diets that include protein sources less affected by eCO2 (like C4 crops or legumes) where possible. For policymakers, it underscores the urgent need to incorporate crop nutrient decline into food security models.

GoodSupportsHIGH confidence
Under eCO2, rice, wheat, barley, and potato protein contents decreased by 7.6%, 7.8%, 14.1%, and 6.4%, respectively... By 2050... an additional 1.6% or 148.4 million of the world’s population may be placed at risk of protein deficiency because of eCO2.
Danielle E. Medek et al. · Environmental Health Perspectives · 2017

Why this rating

Based on a large meta-analysis of 99 experiments and 48 crops, though it is a modeling study projecting future scenarios rather than a direct clinical trial.

Source

Estimated Effects of Future Atmospheric CO2 Concentrations on Protein Intake and the Risk of Protein Deficiency by Country and Region

Danielle E. Medek et al. · Environmental Health Perspectives · 2017

Meta-analysis · 99 studiesCited 201×
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