Adherence
Early weight loss trajectory (first 14 days) and recording frequency can predict long-term weight loss patterns, with shallow initial loss and infrequent logging predicting a 'plateau-then-increase' pattern.
Track your weight daily for the first two weeks. If you aren't losing weight or are skipping logs, you are statistically likely to hit a plateau and regain weight later. Use this early data to adjust your habits immediately rather than waiting months to see if it works.
Participants with the shallower weight loss and less frequent recording in the first 14 days along with the longer duration are more likely to adhere to Pattern 3 [Decrease to a plateau with subsequent increase] as compared to Pattern 1 [Steady decrease over time]
Why this rating
Large sample size (747 participants, 73k+ records) and robust statistical modeling (sequential polynomial regressions), though observational in nature.
Source
Weight Loss Trajectory Patterns and Short-Term Prediction in a Weight Management Program
Bingjie Zhou et al. · Current Developments in Nutrition · 2022
DOI 10.1093/cdn/nzac070.056
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