Research

Hormonal

Post-myocardial infarction patients with overweight/obesity and high-risk prediabetes (HbA1c 6.0-6.4%) face a 54% five-year risk of progressing to type 2 diabetes, making them the highest-priority candidates for semaglutide treatment.

If you have had a heart attack and are overweight, getting your HbA1c checked is critical. If it is between 6.0% and 6.4%, your risk of developing full-blown diabetes within five years is over 50%. For this specific group, treatment with semaglutide (2.4 mg weekly) is highly efficient at preventing diabetes, with fewer than three people needing treatment to save one from diabetes. This makes it a priority intervention for this subgroup.

GoodSupportsHIGH confidence
The 5-year risks of progression to type 2 diabetes were 54%, 30%, and 5%, respectively. Compared with normoglycemia, those with prediabetes6.0−6.4% were associated with an 18-fold increased risk of progression to type 2 diabetes (HR 18.3, 95% CI 15.2–22.1)
Pernille Tilma Tonnesen et al. · Cardiovascular Diabetology · 2026

Why this rating

Large real-world cohort (n=7398) with long follow-up, though NNT is estimated from a trial rather than directly observed.

Source

Progression to type 2 diabetes among post–myocardial infarction patients with overweight or obesity: a real-world cohort study

Pernille Tilma Tonnesen et al. · Cardiovascular Diabetology · 2026

DOI 10.1186/s12933-026-03085-4

cohort · n=7398
Read the paper
DOI resolved against Crossref · corpus check 2026-06-10

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