Research

Energy balance

Low-carbohydrate diets produce significantly greater short-term weight loss (3-8 months) in obese individuals compared to non-carbohydrate-restricted diets, but this advantage disappears in the long term (10-30 months).

If you are obese, a low-carb diet will help you lose more weight than a standard balanced diet for the first 6-8 months. However, do not expect this advantage to last beyond a year; after 10 months, your weight loss will likely match that of someone on a balanced diet. The key benefit of LC diets in the long run is not weight loss, but improved lipid profiles (lower triglycerides, higher HDL).

GoodQualifiesHIGH confidence
Compared with controls, LC diets were associated with significant reduction of body weight at 3-4 (MD -2.59 [-3.93, -1.25] kg) and 6-8 months (MD -2.64 [-4.32, -0.95]), but no difference at 10-14 and 18-30 months
Giovanni Antonio Silverii et al. · Diabetes Obesity and Metabolism · 2022

Why this rating

High quality evidence for short-term outcomes (GRADE: high), moderate for long-term (GRADE: moderate/low), based on 25 RCTs.

Source

Effectiveness of low‐carbohydrate diets for long‐term weight loss in obese individuals: A meta‐analysis of randomized controlled trials

Giovanni Antonio Silverii et al. · Diabetes Obesity and Metabolism · 2022

DOI 10.1111/dom.14709

Meta-analysis · 25 studiesCited 36×
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DOI resolved against Crossref · corpus check 2026-06-10

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