Research

Energy balance

Higher current Body Mass Index (BMI) is the dominant risk factor for non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM) in men, with risk increasing continuously and markedly at BMI levels ≥29.0 kg/m², even after controlling for fat distribution.

Maintaining a BMI below 24.0 kg/m² is the most effective strategy for preventing type 2 diabetes in men. Risk increases continuously with weight, meaning that even modest weight gain or being in the 'normal' weight range (24-29 kg/m²) carries elevated risk compared to leaner weights. Focus on preventing weight gain throughout adulthood rather than just treating obesity after it occurs.

StrongSupportsVERY_HIGH confidence
Men with a BMI of ≥ 35 kg/m2 had a multivariate RR of 42.1 (95% confidence interval [CI] 22.0-80.6) compared with men with a BMI <23.0 kg/m2... attained BMI was the dominant risk factor for NIDDM; even men of average relative weight had significantly elevated RRs.
June M. Chan et al. · Diabetes Care · 1994

Why this rating

Large prospective cohort (n=27,983), long follow-up (5 years), rigorous multivariate adjustment, and validation of self-reported measures.

Source

Obesity, Fat Distribution, and Weight Gain as Risk Factors for Clinical Diabetes in Men

June M. Chan et al. · Diabetes Care · 1994

DOI 10.2337/diacare.17.9.961

cohort · n=51529Cited 1,821×
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DOI resolved against Crossref · corpus check 2026-06-10

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