Energy balance
Increasing physical activity has only a weak association with preventing future weight gain in observational studies, and clinical trials provide uncertain conclusions on whether increasing activity effectively prevents obesity de novo.
Current evidence suggests that while physical activity is recommended for general health, relying on it alone to prevent obesity is uncertain due to weak associations and measurement errors in studies. Public health advice remains to advocate for 45-60 minutes of moderate intensity activity daily, but expectations for significant weight prevention should be managed.
The majority of studies suggest that low levels of activity are only weakly associated with future weight gain... the updated review of trials to prevent weight gain de novo only reveals six trials published since 2000 in adults and eleven in children... they are uncertain in their conclusions about whether increasing activity will be effective in preventing obesity.
Why this rating
The paper is a review of observational and clinical trials, noting significant issues with measurement error, confounding, and small effect sizes.
Source
Physical activity and obesity prevention: a review of the current evidence
Nicholas J. Wareham et al. · Proceedings of The Nutrition Society · 2005
DOI 10.1079/pns2005423
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