Research

Energy balance

Increased economic development and industrialization are associated with higher obesity rates primarily due to increased caloric intake and diet quality (specifically ultraprocessed foods), rather than reduced physical activity or energy expenditure.

Stop blaming your lack of exercise for your weight gain. This research shows that moving less doesn't necessarily mean you burn significantly less energy than a highly active person of the same size. The real driver of obesity in modern societies is what you eat, specifically the high proportion of ultraprocessed foods that disrupt satiety and increase absorption. Focus on reducing ultraprocessed food intake rather than obsessing over increasing physical activity expenditure to fix obesity.

StrongRefutesHIGH confidence
Our results suggest that dietary intake plays a far greater role than reduced expenditure in the elevated prevalence of obesity associated with economic development.
Amanda McGrosky et al. · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2025

Why this rating

Large-scale cross-sectional study (n=4,213) across 34 diverse global populations using gold-standard DLW measurements for expenditure.

Source

Energy expenditure and obesity across the economic spectrum

Amanda McGrosky et al. · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2025

DOI 10.1073/pnas.2420902122

cross_sectional · n=4213Cited 23×
Read the paper
DOI resolved against Crossref · corpus check 2026-06-10

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