Research
Mixed
Population aging and growth alone will increase annual cardiovascular disease events by approximately 50% between 2010 and 2030 in China, even if all risk factors remain constant at 2000 levels.
Even with perfect health behaviors, the aging of the Chinese population will drive a 50% increase in cardiovascular events by 2030, necessitating proactive public health interventions.
ModerateSupportsMEDIUM confidence
With risk factor levels held constant, projected annual cardiovascular events increased by ~50% between 2010 and 2030 based on population aging and growth alone.
Why this rating
Based on simulation modeling.
Source
Future Cardiovascular Disease in China
Andrew E. Moran et al. · Circulation Cardiovascular Quality and Outcomes · 2010
DOI 10.1161/circoutcomes.109.910711
narrative_reviewCited 434×
Read the paper DOI resolved against Crossref · corpus check 2026-06-10
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