Research
Cellular
Current methods used to forecast life expectancy cannot detect the future effects of childhood obesity.
Practitioners should consider the limitations of current forecasting in health planning.
StrongSupportsmedium confidence
A phenomenon that cannot be detected by current methods used to forecast life expectancy or estimate the number of deaths currently attributable to obesity.
Why this rating
The claim is based on a critical analysis of forecasting methods.
Source
Misdirection on the Road to Shangri-La
S. Jay Olshansky et al. · Science of Aging Knowledge Environment · 2005
DOI 10.1126/sageke.2005.22.pe15
otherCited 6×
Read the paper DOI resolved against Crossref · corpus check 2026-06-10
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